CALGARY, ALBERTA--(Marketwire - Sept. 13, 2010) - NAL Oil & Gas Trust (the "Trust" or "NAL") (TSX:NAE.UN)
provides an operations update on its Cardium and Mississippian light
oil projects in central Alberta and southeast Saskatchewan.
On NAL's operations at Cochrane and Hoffer, Mr. Marlon
McDougall, NAL's Chief Operating Officer, stated "we are encouraged by
the initial results of the light oil plays at both Cochrane in Alberta
and Hoffer in Saskatchewan, with performance to date which has exceeded
our expectations in these two emerging areas. With limited reserves
currently booked, we remain optimistic about the future production and
reserves potential for the Trust, despite the early stage of
development. These two areas are expected to grow significantly in the
future, complementing the Trust's established light oil play in the
greater Garrington area where performance in the Cardium is now proven
to be repeatable with 31 wells drilled, yielding attractive economics
and establishing considerable running room over the next several years."
HIGHLIGHTS:
- Garrington Cardium drilling provides proven
repeatability with 31 wells drilled to date, supporting significant
future drilling and reserve bookings;
- The 3-17-27-3W5M well at Cochrane, which is one of NAL's
strongest Cardium producers to date, flowed at approximately 2,300 boe
per day post-load-fluid recovery and produced on test for five days
prior to being shut-in for equipping at an average rate of 1,300 boe per
day. NAL operates this area and has a 65% working interest;
- Production in the Hoffer area of southeast Saskatchewan
is expected to grow from approximately 200 bbls per day at the beginning
of the year to approximately 1,500 bbls per day at year end. NAL
operates this area and has a 50% working interest; and
- NAL's 2010 exit production rate is expected to be above
31,000 boe per day and full year average volumes are expected to be in
the mid-range of guidance of 29,500 – 30,500 boe per day.
Please note: several maps and production performance plots
have been updated within NAL's corporate presentation in conjunction
with this press release. We invite you to view that presentation by
clicking on the direct link below:
Link to NAL corporate presentation: http://www.nal.ca
CARDIUM OPERATIONS – AN OVERVIEW
The Trust currently has one rig operating in the Garrington
area and one in the Cochrane area and is expecting to drill
approximately 22 (12 net) Cardium wells in 2010. NAL's drilling and
completions teams continue to work aggressively on optimizing field
operations to drive per well costs lower while maintaining high levels
of environmental and safety standards. The 2011 programs for these areas
are currently being formulated, taking into account land owner and
facilities utilization considerations.
In 2008, horizontal wells were drilled and completed in the
Garrington area for $4 million per well. These costs were reduced to $3
million in 2009 using better drilling and completion techniques and
improved operational efficiency through reliability and continuous
operations. In 2010, NAL is drilling longer horizontal sections
(1,200-1,400 meters vs 1,000 meters) and placing more fracs (10-14 vs 8)
for the same $3 million.
Pad drilling is proving to be highly effective in reducing
facility and pipeline costs, addressing surface access concerns from
landowners and working around limitations based on surface geography.
Although drilling costs are slightly higher for this operation, it
allows drilling operations to continue through break-up, taking
advantage of reduced industry activity and better access to equipment
during the second quarter.
Existing facilities and infrastructure continue to be
optimized in the Garrington area through efficient well planning. High
initial rates from wells require that drilling is spread out across the
infrastructure in order to avoid over capitalization of facilities and
pipelines based on peak production. In Cochrane, NAL will be driving a
joint industry gas gathering pipeline that is currently being surveyed
and acquired with expectations for construction in the fourth quarter of
2010. This gas infrastructure will form the back bone for required
future gas conservation in the area.
After several months of production history, performance from
the Trust's first water frac'd Cardium oil well in Garrington is
marginally below offset wells completed with oil but is not outside
NAL's established range of expectations based on reservoir
heterogeneity. Now that the long term viability of the play is well
supported, NAL anticipates executing a broader program of water based
fracs in 2011. It is expected that there will be a $300,000 - $400,000
per well savings in frac oil costs, partly offset by higher fluid
handling costs and more fluid recovery time.
GARRINGTON CARDIUM OIL PROGRAM CONTINUES TO DELIVER
NAL's Cardium program continues to deliver in its core area
of Garrington with results that are repeatable and support the original
forecasted production curve for the area. It is expected that the Trust
will drill 17 wells in the Cardium in the greater Garrington area in
2010. Cardium production in this area has grown from approximately 750
boe per day in late 2008 to a forecasted rate of approximately 3,000 boe
per day by the end of 2010. The Trust's working interest is
approximately 65% in the area. With the significant number of wells now
drilled and on stream, management is satisfied that it has now validated
the light oil resource and a five year drilling program in the greater
Garrington area.
INITIAL CARDIUM OIL PERFORMANCE AT COCHRANE IS ENCOURAGING
NAL's Cochrane development program commenced drilling in the
second quarter of 2010, with completion and tie-in activities
progressing through the second half of the year. In addition, industry
activity in the Cochrane area has been positive and has given the Trust
confidence in the longer term viability of the play. The Trust expects
to drill five (2.3 net) Cardium wells in the area in 2010. NAL's
significant acreage position of approximately 65 gross sections was
successfully acquired through crown land sales, acquisitions and
strategic partnerships before competition in the region increased land
costs and eroded full cycle play economics and value.
The first well in the program at 13-3-27-3W5M in which the
Trust has a 65 percent working interest, flowed at approximately 600 boe
per day post-load-fluid-recovery and had a first month average
production rate of approximately 170 boe per day. This well performance
is comparable to the Trust's typical initial production rates in the
Garrington area to the north and supports a potential rate of return in
the excess of 35% at a WTI price of $US 75 per bbl.
The second well in the Cochrane program at 3-17-27-3W5M in
which the Trust also has a 65 percent working interest, flowed at
approximately 2,300 boe per day post-load-fluid-recovery and produced on
test for five days prior to being shut-in for equipping at an average
rate of 1,300 boe per day (1,100 bbls/d of oil and 1.3 mmcf/d of natural
gas). This is one of NAL's strongest Cardium wells to date. The Trust
expects this well to exhibit significant hyperbolic decline over the
first six months as seen in all of NAL's Cardium oil wells, but will
provide long term production and reserves supporting positive economics.
An additional three (one net) wells are expected to be
completed and on stream by the end of the year. This NAL activity
coupled with increased industry activity and continued positive results
are expected to validate significant resource potential. The Trust
currently has no reserves booked in this area.
DRILLING EXTENDS NEW POOL DISCOVERY AT HOFFER IN SE SASKATCHEWAN
In southeast Saskatchewan, NAL currently has 4 rigs operating
targeting Mississippian light oil. There are currently 16 wells drilled
in the Hoffer area with 12 producing and expectations that production
in the play will grow from approximately 200 bbls of oil per day in
January 2010 to over 1,500 bbls of oil per day by year end.
At Hoffer, results to date validate a significant light oil
resource and continue to exceed a 40 percent rate of return. Similar to
the results in the Trust's Cardium program, individual outcomes at
Hoffer have varied, with initial first month production averages of 75 –
300 bbls per day. The Trust has now proven up the Ratcliffe play across
nine sections of land in the Hoffer area with significant potential
proved and probable reserves to be booked.
Drilling has also commenced on recently acquired large
contiguous land blocks adjacent to the Hoffer area with results from
these programs expected in the fourth quarter. Positive results from
these programs are expected to validate a significant inventory of
future light oil drilling locations for the Trust across 250 sections of
land. Potential for continuity of the play across the acquired acreage
is supported by mapping that reflects the stratigraphic nature of the
play, the presence of bypassed pay in several well bores and
observations made from NAL's proprietary 3D seismic.
Production performance from the first 12 wells continues to
support NAL's initial assumptions for the Mississippian Hoffer trend
with:
- First month initial production rates of 75 - 300 bbls of oil per day;
- Production qualifying for a 100 mbbl royalty holiday and
delivering netbacks of approximately C$50 per boe at WTI prices of
US$75 per bbl;
- Recycle ratios of two to three times;
- Reserves per well of 75 – 200 mboe;
- Drilling density of four wells per section;
- Average cost per horizontal well of approximately $1.7
million to drill, complete, equip and tie-in to a single well oil
battery;
- Wells that do not require fracture stimulation; and
- Operating costs that are anticipated to be approximately
$6 per boe (currently $10 per boe) upon completion of a central
gathering facility that is planned to be built in 2011
Bakken light oil potential in the area continues to be proven
up by competitor drilling activity on adjacent lands. NAL currently
plans to drill a vertical "strat" test in the area to evaluate different
horizons and is considering a Bakken horizontal program in 2011 based
on offset success.
Initial planning and licensing for a central gathering,
treating and water disposal facility with an oil throughput capacity of
5,000 bbls per day is under way. Construction is expected to commence
prior to year end with completion in the first quarter of 2011 to ensure
production is not limited by poor road conditions for trucking emulsion
from single well oil batteries over spring break up.
CORPORATE CONVERSION
NAL is presently planning to convert to a dividend paying
corporation toward the end of 2010. By itself, the change in structure
of the underlying entity from a trust to a corporation, is not expected
to alter NAL's business plan or disciplined operational and financial
focus.
NAL's Board will continue to assess the Trust's dividend and
payout policy based upon commodity prices, NAL's asset base,
opportunities and market conditions. Upon conversion, the Trust's total
return will be driven by a combination of yield and growth, with yield
expected to remain a meaningful component of the overall return. Future
information on payout and dividend levels is expected to be communicated
in late October 2010.
OUTLOOK
NAL management is encouraged by the initial results at Hoffer
and Cochrane and believes these areas will provide significant
production and reserves growth for the Trust in the future.
NAL's development program for 2010 continues to be
approximately 80 percent weighted toward oil and evenly balanced between
Cardium oil projects in Alberta and Mississippian oil projects in
Saskatchewan. Reserves from these plays are expected to be added at
approximately $20 per boe (proved plus probable) providing attractive
net present values and strong recycle ratios based on oil netbacks of
between $40 - $50 per bbl.
With a capital program of approximately $92 million focused
on the Trust's Cardium and Mississippian light oil plays through the
second half of 2010, NAL's exit rate is expected to be over 31,000 boe
per day. Continued curtailment on the Enbridge system in southeast
Saskatchewan due to various failures on its pipeline distribution system
coupled with additional down time at single well batteries in Hoffer
due to extreme wet weather is expected to impact third quarter volumes
for the Trust. Until the extent and duration of the latest Enbridge
outages are known, it will be difficult to ascertain the full potential
impact on NAL's third quarter volumes and full year guidance.
The Trust has executed a deliberate strategy of building
grass roots resource style plays in 2010 and as a result has
pre-invested significantly on prospective lands at both Crown Land sales
and through timely acquisitions with limited associated production and
significant undeveloped land. In total, NAL expects to spend $55 - $60
million related to land which, although moving finding and development
and finding, development and acquisition metrics higher for the current
year, will enhance the Trust's position for the future.
FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS
This press release contains statements that constitute
"forward-looking information" within the meaning of applicable
securities legislation. Forward looking information is typically
identified by words such as "anticipate", "estimate", "expect",
"forecast", "may", "will", "could", "plan", "intend", "should",
"believe", "outlook", "project", "potential", "target" and similar words
suggesting future events or future performance. In addition, statements
relating to "reserves" are forward-looking statements as they involve
the implied assessment, based on certain estimates and assumptions, that
the reserves described exist in the quantities estimated and can be
profitably produced in the future. This press release contains
forward-looking information pertaining to, among other things, potential
reserve additions, drilling plans, anticipated 2010 and 2011 production
and production volume growth, anticipated 2010 and 2011 capital
expenditures, operating, drilling and completion costs, anticipated
drilling density, the construction of additional facilities, netbacks
and rates of return, finding and development and finding, development
and acquisition metrics, the continuity of the Hoffer play, the
potential for future Mississippian (including Bakken) development and
production and the future structure of the Trust and its subsidiaries.
Various assumptions were used in drawing the conclusions
contained in the forward-looking information contained in this press
release including, without limitation, with respect to commodity prices,
capital expenditures, royalty rates, the success of NAL's drilling
program and the production profile of NAL 's oil and gas reserves.
Forward-looking information is based on current expectations,
estimates and projections that involve a number of risks, which could
cause actual results to vary and in some instances to differ materially
from those anticipated by NAL and described in the forward-looking
information contained in this press release. Undue reliance should not
be placed on forward-looking information. The material risk factors
include, but are not limited to, changes in commodity prices,
unanticipated operating results or production declines, the impact of
weather on NAL's ability to execute its capital program, risks inherent
in oil and gas operations, the uncertainty associated with the
interpretation of seismic data, the imprecision of reserve estimates,
limited, unfavorable or no access to capital or credit markets, the lack
of availability of qualified operating or management personnel, the
inability to obtain industry partner and other third party consents and
approvals, when required, general economic conditions in Canada, the
United States and globally, changes in government regulation of the oil
and gas industry, including environmental regulation, changes in royalty
rates and other risk factors discussed in other public filings of the
Trust including the Trust's current Annual Information Form. Readers are
cautioned that the foregoing list of risk factors is not exhaustive.
Forward-looking information is based on the estimates and opinions of NAL's management at the time the information is released.
BOE CONVERSION
Throughout this press release, the calculation of barrels of
oil equivalent (boe) is calculated at a conversion rate of six thousand
cubic feet (mcf) of natural gas for one barrel of oil and is based on an
energy equivalence conversion method. Boes may be misleading,
particularly if used in isolation. A boe conversion ratio of 6 mcf:1 bbl
is based on an energy equivalence conversion method primarily
applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalence
at the wellhead.
ABOUT NAL
NAL Oil & Gas Trust provides investors with a
yield-oriented opportunity to participate in the Canadian upstream oil
and gas industry. The Trust generates monthly cash distributions for its
unitholders by pursuing a strategy of acquiring, developing, producing
and selling crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids from pools in
southeastern Saskatchewan, central Alberta, northeastern British
Columbia and Lake Erie, Ontario. Trust units trade on the Toronto Stock
Exchange under the symbol "NAE.UN".